Tatsuro Senga
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​United Kingdom

In a joint team with the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and the Economic Statistic Centre of Excellence (ESCoE), 
we are developing the largest ever survey of UK management capabilities and expectations.
 

- project website link

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​Survey, policy and technical papers:
1. Management practices and productivity in British production and services industries - initial results from the Management and Expectations Survey: 2016
  • with Gaganan Awano, Nicholas Bloom, Ted Dolby, Paul Mizen, Rebecca Riley, John Van Reenen, Jenny Vyas and Philip Wales
  • Survey: ONS release,  April 2018​​ ​
2. A firm-level perspective on micro- and macro-level uncertainty An analysis of business expectations and uncertainty from the UK Management and Expectations Survey
  • with Gaganan Awano, Nicholas Bloom, Ted Dolby, Paul Mizen, Rebecca Riley, John Van Reenen, Jenny Vyas and Philip Wales
  • ESCoE Discussion Paper 2018-10,  July 2018


Policy and public engagement:

1. Business productivity review: goverment call for evidence, Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy - link
  • ​Joint ESCoE-ONS submission for the Business Productivity Review, July 2018
  • reflected by the joint HMT and BEIS Business Productivity Review and the announcement made by the Chancellor, October 2018

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Public outreach activities:

1. Royal Economic Society Conference 2018 - link
  • presentation by Tatsuro Senga - "The UK Management and Expectations Survey: First Results," discussed by Johanna Cowan (HM Treasury)
  • ​ESCoE-ONS Special Session: Economic Statistics for Times of Transition, March 2018

2. ESCoE Conference on Economic Measurement 2018 - link
  • plenary by Nicholas Bloom - "Measuring business expectations and uncertainty after Brexit – A tale of two surveys"  - link
  • presentation by Philip Wales - "Management practices and productivity in Great Britain: First results from the Management and Expectations Survey" - link
  • May 2018 

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​Japan
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At the Research Institute of Economy, Trade, and Industry (RIETI), our projects run the unique business-level expectations survey to better measure uncertainty faced by Japanese businesses and disseminate new knowledge and offer evidence relevant for Japan's economic and industrial policy.

- project website link

Supported by the Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office (ESRI), we also conduct a quantitative research on business investment, financing activities, and the aggregate implications for the Japanese economy.

- project website link


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Survey, policy and technical papers:

1. Policy Uncertainty and Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from the China-Japan islands dispute
  • ​with Cheng Chen, Chang Sun, and Hongyong Zhang, RIETI Discussion Paper Series 16-E-090, September 2016
  • ​featured in the Nikkei

2. Firm Dynamics, Misallocation, and Targeted Policies
  • with In Hwan Jo, RIETI Discussion Paper Series 17-E-017, March 2017
  • published as "Aggregate Consequences of Credit Subsidy Policies: Firm Dynamics and MIsallocation, Review of Economic Dynamics, April 2019

3. The Dynamics of Interfirm Networks and Firm Growth
  • with Daisuke Fujii​ and Yukiko Saito, RIETI Discussion Paper Series 17-E-110, August 2017
  • ​featured in our article in VoxEU
  • used in 2018 White Paper on Small and Medium Enterprises in Japan (Chapter 1-2)

4. Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Learning in the International Market
  • ​with Cheng Chen, Chang Sun, and Hongyong Zhang, RIETI Discussion Paper Series 18-E-010, March 2018

5. Expectation Formation and Firm Activities: New evidence from a business outlook survey in Japan
  • ​with Cheng Chen, Chang Sun, and Hongyong Zhang, RIETI Discussion Paper Series 18-E-059, September 2018

6. Uncertainty and Cash Holding: Theory and Firm-level Evidence​
  • ​with Aubhik Khan, Economic Analysis, March 2019

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Policy and media engagement:

1. Rising Policy Uncertainty in the United States and the United Kingdom: Japanese companies may hold back on direct investment, Nikkei, March 2017 (available in English here and Japanese here)

2. The dynamics of inter-firm networks and firm growth, ​VoxEU, February 2018 - link

3. 
Can Corporate Behavior Be Changed? Companies remain cautious amid strong concerns over the future (in Japanese)?, Nikkei, March 2018 (available in English here and Japanese here)
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Public outreach activities:

1. ESRI International Conference 2017/2018 - link
  • plenary by Aubhik Khan - "Firm Heterogeneity, Credit Shocks and Business Cycles"  - link
  • presentation by Tatsuro Senga - "Uncertainty, Investment and Cash Holding: Theory and Firm-level Evidence" - link
  • January 2018 

​2. RIETI International Workshop: Uncertainty, Trade and Firms - link
  • April 2018 

3. ESRI International Conference 2018/2019
  • presentation by Tatsuro Senga - "Uncertainty, Investment and Cash Holding: Theory and Firm-level Evidence" - link
  • October 2018 
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